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May 11, 2010

North Idaho Real Estate Analysis - May

Hi All, hope everything is going well with you and your family. Sun has finally made it into North Idaho and I am expecting a nice/hot summer. I jumped in Lake CDA this morning – NOTE – it’s still cold. This edition of my NIRE Analysis will focus on:

REAL ESTATE MARKET UPDATE – if you want the charts that I usually send, reply with the request and I will “load you up”
FORECLOSURE UPDATE
SHORT SALE UPDATE
COMMERCIAL MARKET

NORTH IDAHO MARKET UPDATE
Currently there are approx 2844 residential listings in Kootenai County. Current market conditions tell us this is 12.5 months of inventory. 288 units sold last month ($45 Milliion in Volume) up from 177 ($36 Million) one year ago at this time – UP 38% compared April 09’ (in units) –

We have sold 918 units (as reported from MLS) since 1/1/10. The average sold price is 200K. You can expect a house priced around 200K to be on the market 116 days (of course, if it’s priced competitive). If a house is priced above 500K you can expect it to be on the market for 220+ days (upper range HAS to be top 3 in quality and price compared with competition if it’s going to have a chance at selling). The average home will rent for between $900-1150/month.

It will be interesting to see next month’s stats and the effect the expiration of the tax credit has on sales. Further – this came to me from one of my family members regarding the national market…

I went to a real estate conference yesterday. One of the guest speakers was from the Federal Reserve. While I am a little pessimistic about the current market and where it’s going, I was pretty stunned at what this guy had to say (these are his opinions and not that of the Fed). I thought I’d share some of his info:
1. 24% of all homes in the US have negative equity (70% in Vegas)
2. 23% of loans that have been delinquent 12 months - yes, 12 months - have not started foreclosure yet
3. 14.6% of mortgages are NOT current
4. 50% of loan modifications are in re-default after 9 months
5. Hotels have lost 50% of their value in last 24 months - particularly luxury hotels
6. Starting to see consistency in multi-family; however, watch the condo and timeshare market where you buy (eg. timeshares in Orlando can now be rented for $50 per WEEK).
7. Commercial Loans - can’t re-fi overleveraged properties
8. Regional Banks and Community banks own 26% and 47% of their portfolios in commercial loans - banks will continue to be hammered
9. Recovery is 2-4 years away

FORECLOSURE
REO agents are busy this year, and will continue to be for the next 2 years. REO property has accounted for 25% of our sales this year. The average sale price was $153,247 – the price it was listed at when it sells - $160,620. The original list price $171,183. What this tells you – when a bank lists their property and it doesn’t sell in 30 days they drop it 10K until it sells. As a buyer you can expect a 5% discount on the final list price (average bank takes 95.15% of list price). 232 foreclosure properties sold since 1/1/10, for an average of 62 days on the market.

186 Foreclosures on the market now – including pending. See the list below:

http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?rho8i61ynug,7,1

SHORT SALES
289 short sales are on the market now, 83 (28%) sold since 1/1/10. Banks are still taking 3+ months to respond, but I have noticed they are responding. Typically they are within 85-90% of market price, however there have been a few occasions where it is less. Here is the link to the short sales:

http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?rho8jkr6ngh,7,1

COMMERCIAL MARKET
333 total commercial listings on the market now. 15 (4.5%) have sold this year (see the list of what has sold here). It’s not looking to good in the commercial realm; however, there are nice commercial development bargains if you’re looking. Contact me for a list if you’re interested.

View commercial listings at:

http://www.NorthIdahoCommercial.com

View commercial business opportunities here:

http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?rho8ng58n0t,7,1

Thank you for taking the time to review our market conditions and/or look over our listings. If you have further questions or comments or would like to LIST or WRITE OFFERS, please let me know. As always, if you or your family/friends/clients need help with anything real estate in North Idaho, please do not hesitate to get in touch. I am always available and my website is always updated with the latest listings.

Have a great rest of the week, TJB (208)660-5785

April 26, 2010

Current North Idaho Foreclosure and Short Sale Links

Lots of activity recently in the foreclosure arena! 185 total listings 11% pending. Here is the big list:
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?rgu442m78yy,7,1

There are over 200 short sales - here is the first 200. Banks appear to still take their sweet time in negotiating these, however, the upper 400K+ short sales are moving along quite faster…
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?rgu447knmzl,7,1

February 23, 2010

Carlin Ridge Estates - CDA Lake Views!

This property is a fantastic value nestled above Carlin Bay Marina on Lake Coeur d’Alene.  Enjoy everything North Idaho offers (boating, fishing, national forest, hunting, hiking, camping, freedom) at a fraction of the value.  This vacant land piece of real estate is priced at only $75,000.  See the video below:

January 11, 2010

Post Falls emerges as business haven

North Idaho city is home to many businesses that relocated from expensive metropolitan areas:

The city of Post Falls, Idaho, one of the fastest-growing cities in the U.S. during the 2000s, has emerged as a haven of sorts for companies that seek a business-friendly environment.

Economic development efforts in recent years have been successful in attracting some of the largest private employers in this 25,000-person city, which is located on the Washington-Idaho border between Spokane, Wash., and Coeur d’Alene, Idaho.

“We just continue to prove over and over again that the state of Idaho is the place to be for business,” says Steve Griffitts, president of the Coeur d’Alene Area Economic Development Corp.

In the past 20-some years, 80 companies have relocated into or expanded into Kootenai County, where Post Falls and Coeur d’Alene are located. Collectively, those companies currently employ more than 5,000 people.

Some of the largest companies to open facilities in Post Falls include U.S. Bank, 400 employees; office furniture maker Kimball International, 400 employees; knife maker Buck Knives, 250 workers; and Ernest Health Inc., which operates North Idaho Advanced Care Hospital, with 150 employees.

Griffitts contends that the vast majority of the companies attracted to North Idaho end up relocating to the region. Initially, many of them are looking to expand, but after learning about the region, many decide to bring their entire operation to the Gem State.

Companies considering relocation—most come from Southern California—typically are attracted to four attributes: a business-friendly political environment, affordable housing, high quality of life, and a skilled, trained workforce.

Idaho routinely ranks near the top in national rankings for business friendly states and toward the bottom in terms of states with burdensome business taxes. In fact, Griffitts says, Idaho ranks 49th on a list of states in terms of high business taxes.

“We have no estate taxes and low property levy rates,” says Griffitts. “We’re a balanced-budget state and a right-to-work state. We have city, county and state leaders that understand the importance of business to a state.”

At the local level, he says, government officials also understand the importance of responding quickly. For example, a few years ago, grocery distributor Sysco Corp. announced plans to open two food-distribution centers in the Northwest, one in Post Falls and one in Western Washington. Griffitts says Sysco held the grand-opening ceremony for the Post Falls facility before it had broken ground on the Western Washington facility, which reportedly was held up by regulatory issues.

One attribute that works to the advantage of economic-development efforts in North Idaho is the availability of land along heavily traveled traffic corridors. For example, a 30-acre parcel along Highway 41, one of North Idaho’s primary north-south routes, is flat and undeveloped. It’s zoned for commercial use and can accommodate retail, office, warehouse or multifamily development.

In addition to business friendliness, Idaho boasts a low cost of living and a high quality of life. The median home price in Kootenai County typically hovers below the $190,000 mark, making homes more affordable in the Coeur d’Alene-Post Falls area than in most metropolitan areas.

Quality-of-life attributes include a close proximity and easy access to lakes and rivers, a variety of nearby recreational activities—skiing, snowboarding, fishing, hunting and a myriad of others—and a vibrant local arts-and-entertainment scene.

The trained, skilled labor force starts with strong public schools in North Idaho that feed into workforce training programs at North Idaho College, in Coeur d’Alene, and the North Idaho College Workforce Training Center, in Post Falls. Last September, Kootenai County had an unemployment rate of 8.7 percent, which is lower than the national average but high enough to indicate that workers are available.

During the recent economic downturn, Griffitts says out-of-state companies have been receptive to the idea of moving their companies to a business-friendly place like Post Falls, because they are looking at a variety of ways to save money and operate more efficiently.

“Once people get out of their comfort zone, they are more open to new information,” Griffitts says. “There is more interest now than ever.”

November 2, 2009

North Idaho Real Estate Analysis - November

Hi All,

Hope all is well with you and your family. It has been getting pretty cold at nights around Coeur d’Alene, snow is expected soon definitely before Thanksgiving. In this newsletter, I would like to talk about 4 points: 1. North Idaho Real Estate Market Conditions, 2. Commercial Property Sales 3. $8,000 Tax Credit Extension 4. REO and Short Sales

North Idaho Real Estate Market Conditions

Through October 09’ we are sitting with 8373 listings on the market, a 26 month supply at current selling levels. Last month we sold 317 UNITS (consider that is 634 sides to a transaction – we have around 850 real estate agents in our market area). This is actually an 8% increase in sold unit’s year over year. In the coming months we can expect inventory to drop significantly through January – however- I suspect we will see an increase in REO and short sale listings keeping prices low. Our average sold price now is $200,665 and it is 151 days on the market. The $100,000-$200,000 price range is still the hot price points with up to 29% pending ratios in those price categories. In the upper price ranges – $400,000-$2,000,000 there are 8 pendings and a total of 303 listings. I consider this price point Armageddon for residential units priced above 400K (the average price adjustment is $56K!). Please see the attached PDF files, which include: two year trend lines, Total Market Overview, for more information.

2 Year Real Estate Trendline

Commercial Property Sales

There have been a total of 57 commercial units sold (reported through MLS) in the last year. The average price per SQ/FT for commercial sold is $93/FOOT. Average price adjustment before it sell is 29%. Average sold is $447,496. Of course, many factors come into play (i.e. location) when looking at comparable pricing. Commercial money is still hard to come by and with the restructuring and bankruptcy of CIT it may get even tighter. Watch for commercial REO’s. Community banks appear to be holding most of the commercial REO inventory so you might check with your local banks for their commercial REO list. You can see all commercial inventory here: http://www.NorthIdahoCommercial.com Please see the attached spreadsheet outlining the sold commercial data.

Idaho Commercial Sales Sold Anaylsis

$8,000 Tax Credit Extension

Late last week a bipartisan plan emerged in the Senate that would continue the $8,000 credit for first time purchasers beyond November 30, but would create a new, smaller credit of $6,500 for people who’ve owned and lived in their houses for five consecutive years and now want to buy another as their principal residence. It looks like this is going to go through. It is nice to see they are giving other buyers – like those that have owned their home for 5+ years an incentive to sell and repurchase. When this passes and you would like to list your home for sale and take advantage of this offer – LET ME KNOW!

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REO AND SHORT SALES

Right now there are 112 Real Estate Owned (REO) listings on the market. Over 250 sold in the last year. 26 sold last month representing about 8.2% of the closed inventory. You can view the current REO inventory here:

http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ox111l25fe7,7,1

There are over 260 short sales on the market. Certain banks seem to be better than others in negotiating the short sales. My last short sale – we had approval in 1.5 months; my short sale before that 7 months! Big differences. To view the first 200 short sales on the market now see:

http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ox111w0qmr5,7,1

Thank you for taking the interest in our real estate market. If you would like specific information please do not hesitate to get in contact with me via email, phone or fax. Have a great Thanksgiving!

Your Local Realtor of Choice,

TJB

September 25, 2009

Post Falls Commercial Property - North Idaho’s Premier Growth Corridor

I just listed this 30.17 acre commercial property located on the HWY 41 corridor just off of I90 in the center of a 640,000 population market area including Post Falls, Rathdrum, Spokane Valley, Spokane and Coeur d Alene.  North Idaho’s premier commercial development and investment property.  Take a look at this North Idaho Commercial property and let me know what you think!

August 4, 2009

Survival & Retreat Type Property

HI All, I have created a link for real estate in North Idaho that is on 5+ acres, treed, southern exposure, creek, pond, or river, slightly elevated or rolling elevation, close to Bureau of Land Management or Idaho State Land, private well or private water supply and somewhat close proximity to small/medium sized self sufficient towns.

Here is a search function you can use to peruse/browse this type of property.  You can adjust price/acreage and bed/bath if that is important to you.

http://link.flexmls.com/ou3p32zvg3h,7

Further, you can request that I build a portal for you so you can search and save listings in your own account.  Let me know if you have interest in this.  Currently there are 74 listings that fit this retreat property/survival property profile.  Let me know if you would like further information including plats/topos, maps on any of these North Idaho listings.

Further, I have access to Kootenai and Bonner County building and planning to help you with permits (if you need them) and property splits, builder suggestions, alternative energy systems and set-up, and more.  Also, if you are a builder or alternative energy supplier/contractor, or have talents/resources you would like to share and would like to be included in my list let me know.  TJB

North Idaho Real Estate Analysis - July

I hope all is well with you this summer! It has been getting hot, a great time to grab friends and family and get on the LAKE! Go take advantage and enjoy what a great place North Idaho is in the summer. This monthly update I want to share information about: 1. Current Inventory, Sold’s, Month Supply 2. Total Market Overviews 3. Vacant Land 4. Foreclosures/Short Sales 5. Keller Williams LUAU Coming Up

1. Looking over July results, it appears fairly optimistic in line with the national housing results that were announced just recently. We sold 308 units in July 09’ (compared with 323, 08’). This is up over the 299 sold in June. The sales also follow the North Idaho trend of summer month sales more than double winter sales (Jan 09’ 120 units sold). If you look at the enclosed trend line stats, you will see what I am talking about. From here on out we can expect inventory to drop a little bit every month then start gaining momentum again in February. Currently, we are at 8,676 listings. If you are a seller, get your property listed to within the top 3 properties in your class (price,quality) if you want it to sell before winter. If you’re a buyer, this market is producing some incredible opportunity for primary residences in all price ranges. The $8,500 tax credit is still in effect until end of Nov. Also, on a side note, legislation just got passed, by Aug 15th loan servicers will begin to modify ANY FHA loans if the mortgagee applies and fits the profile (31% Front End Ratio, 55% Back End Debt) according to the Affordable Modification Program Letter 2009-23. Let me know if you would like more info.

2. Enclosed are the Total Market Overviews (TMO’s) for all of Kootenai County for CONDOS, MULTIFAMILY, and SINGLE FAM. Very interesting to look at, not much activity going on in the duplex/triplex fourplex realm, which may produce some opportunity in the coming year as inventory swells. As banks tighten lending even more, this may force more people to rent. I like the idea of big units 4+ bedrooms ect… Midrange condominiums 300-400K appears to be seeing some action. See the attached TMO’s. Kootenai County Total Market Overview

3. Vacant land inventory on our MLS is up over 3700 parcels available!!!! We sold 407 parcels in the last year. Here are 100 parcels over 80 acres. http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ou3e0pn4ljn,7,1 You can view all of our land and search specifically for your needs at my http://www.LandCDA.com website.

4. Sellers are starting to price their properties similar to REO pricing. They have to in order to compete. Here is the current foreclosure list; 89 units available now. http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ou3e0×99732,7,1 If you have interest, 208 REO’s sold in the last year for an average of $93/FOOT. Within 95% of list price. Average Days on Market is only 85 days for an REO, this includes escrow time AVG 45 days….See below for REO sold stats for first 200:

5. Keller Williams Luau – This is coming up Friday August 21, 2009 5-8pm and YOU are invited. 1044 NW BLVD. Food, music and a jumping tent for the adventurous. I hope to see you there!

Have a great remainder of August! As always, if you or anyone you know is looking to buy, sell, invest, lease, property in North Idaho please have them get in touch with me. I would love to work with them. I am always available. CELL 208-660-5785.

July 28, 2009

Client Testimonial - Commercial Lease Space in Coeur d’Alene

JEB COMMERCE used T.J. Barnhart at Keller Williams Realty in Coeur d’Alene, ID to negotiate their commercial lease in a Class A office space in downtown Coeur d’Alene. “We are very excited about our new office space and T.J. got us a fantastic deal” says JEB COMMERCE as they sealed their lease with a grand signing.

I showed JEB COMMERCE 8 different office suites in the downtown Coeur d’Alene area. There is definitely plenty of inventory to choose from in the office space environment. All were vacant units. We were able to use that information as a negotiating tool and we got a great deal. If you or anyone you know is looking to negotiate a commercial, retail, office, manufacturing, industrial lease in the North Idaho region, please forward them my information and I would love to help them out.

July 10, 2009

North Idaho Real Estate Analysis - June

The North Idaho Real Estate Market has seen an increase in sales the last couple of months – which is not surprising – North Idaho is a wonderful place to be in the summer. 282 units sold in June. The average days on market increased to 137 days and we are sitting on 29 months of inventory (8340 listings). If we compare ourselves with June 08’ we will see a 13% decrease in total unit sales and a 4% decrease in price (221K vs 212K). Not bad considering the nature of current economic conditions. Please see the enclosed PDF files which include a 2 year trend line of real estate inventory, sales and activity, average sold prices for the last two years, asking vs sold prices, ect. Also, included is the Keller Williams Total Market Overview. This gives all listing, pending and sales activity in every price range. Notice the pick up in activity in the $200-250K price range. I also have Market Overviews for each area and segment in our market (Condos, Post Falls, Sandpoint, Waterfront, Multi-Family, 1 Mil Plus), just let me know what you want and I will send it to you immediately.

REO LIST (84 Active, 8 Pending – 23 sold last month)

Foreclosures and Real Estate Owned by banks continue to keep downward pricing pressure on our active listings. The availability of foreclosures continues to increase every month, with more than a 20% pending ratio! See the list below:

http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ot50u7tjy8e,7,1

Short Sale List (188 Active, 21 Pending – 19 sold last month)
I ran all the short sales sold in the last year. 70 total. Sellers ON AVERAGE reduced their prices 10% since initially offering their property. Then they averaged a 3.55% price reduction from the bank while in negotiations. This tells me that agents are getting the prices on the short sales below appraised value and close to what the banks will accept. View the list of short sales here:
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ot50ucmw7aj,7,1

Waterfront Listings (84 North Idaho Waterfront Listings)
Summer is a great time to be in North Idaho. Here is the latest in waterfront listings.

http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ot512zgi5s8,7,1

The commercial market is engaging a record $480 BILLION in debt coming due. This is a large number (up to 10X) compared to the residential market!
“…thousands of office complexes, hotels, shopping centers and other commercial buildings are headed into defaults, foreclosures and bankruptcies. The reason: according to research firm Foresight Analytics LCC, $530 billion of commercial mortgages will be coming due for refinancing in the next three years — with about $160 billion maturing in the next year. Credit, meanwhile, is practically nonexistent and cash flows from commercial property are siphoning off.”

Why, you ask, does this affect the market? Well, if you own a commercial property, and you have a balloon payment coming up, traditionally you would refinance, and start the process again. The availability of funds to refinance has dried up and terms have gotten tougher. Understand the issue? It is going to put a strain on banks ability to fund not only commercial but residential, credit lines, ect… This may present some distressed sales/foreclosures in the commercial arena. STAY TUNED. To view the available commercial inventory now, visit my site updated nightly with newest listings:

http://www.NorthIdahoCommercial.com

Total Market Overview CDA

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Copyright 2009 - T.J. Barnhart, Keller Williams Coeur d'Alene. Equal Housing Opportunity Provider.
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