November 2, 2009
Hi All,
Hope all is well with you and your family. It has been getting pretty cold at nights around Coeur d’Alene, snow is expected soon definitely before Thanksgiving. In this newsletter, I would like to talk about 4 points: 1. North Idaho Real Estate Market Conditions, 2. Commercial Property Sales 3. $8,000 Tax Credit Extension 4. REO and Short Sales
North Idaho Real Estate Market Conditions
Through October 09’ we are sitting with 8373 listings on the market, a 26 month supply at current selling levels. Last month we sold 317 UNITS (consider that is 634 sides to a transaction – we have around 850 real estate agents in our market area). This is actually an 8% increase in sold unit’s year over year. In the coming months we can expect inventory to drop significantly through January – however- I suspect we will see an increase in REO and short sale listings keeping prices low. Our average sold price now is $200,665 and it is 151 days on the market. The $100,000-$200,000 price range is still the hot price points with up to 29% pending ratios in those price categories. In the upper price ranges – $400,000-$2,000,000 there are 8 pendings and a total of 303 listings. I consider this price point Armageddon for residential units priced above 400K (the average price adjustment is $56K!). Please see the attached PDF files, which include: two year trend lines, Total Market Overview, for more information.
2 Year Real Estate Trendline
Commercial Property Sales
There have been a total of 57 commercial units sold (reported through MLS) in the last year. The average price per SQ/FT for commercial sold is $93/FOOT. Average price adjustment before it sell is 29%. Average sold is $447,496. Of course, many factors come into play (i.e. location) when looking at comparable pricing. Commercial money is still hard to come by and with the restructuring and bankruptcy of CIT it may get even tighter. Watch for commercial REO’s. Community banks appear to be holding most of the commercial REO inventory so you might check with your local banks for their commercial REO list. You can see all commercial inventory here: http://www.NorthIdahoCommercial.com Please see the attached spreadsheet outlining the sold commercial data.
Idaho Commercial Sales Sold Anaylsis
$8,000 Tax Credit Extension
Late last week a bipartisan plan emerged in the Senate that would continue the $8,000 credit for first time purchasers beyond November 30, but would create a new, smaller credit of $6,500 for people who’ve owned and lived in their houses for five consecutive years and now want to buy another as their principal residence. It looks like this is going to go through. It is nice to see they are giving other buyers – like those that have owned their home for 5+ years an incentive to sell and repurchase. When this passes and you would like to list your home for sale and take advantage of this offer – LET ME KNOW!
file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/TJ/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK128/20091102_washingtonreport.htm
REO AND SHORT SALES
Right now there are 112 Real Estate Owned (REO) listings on the market. Over 250 sold in the last year. 26 sold last month representing about 8.2% of the closed inventory. You can view the current REO inventory here:
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ox111l25fe7,7,1
There are over 260 short sales on the market. Certain banks seem to be better than others in negotiating the short sales. My last short sale – we had approval in 1.5 months; my short sale before that 7 months! Big differences. To view the first 200 short sales on the market now see:
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ox111w0qmr5,7,1
Thank you for taking the interest in our real estate market. If you would like specific information please do not hesitate to get in contact with me via email, phone or fax. Have a great Thanksgiving!
Your Local Realtor of Choice,
TJB
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July 28, 2009
July 10, 2009
The North Idaho Real Estate Market has seen an increase in sales the last couple of months – which is not surprising – North Idaho is a wonderful place to be in the summer. 282 units sold in June. The average days on market increased to 137 days and we are sitting on 29 months of inventory (8340 listings). If we compare ourselves with June 08’ we will see a 13% decrease in total unit sales and a 4% decrease in price (221K vs 212K). Not bad considering the nature of current economic conditions. Please see the enclosed PDF files which include a 2 year trend line of real estate inventory, sales and activity, average sold prices for the last two years, asking vs sold prices, ect. Also, included is the Keller Williams Total Market Overview. This gives all listing, pending and sales activity in every price range. Notice the pick up in activity in the $200-250K price range. I also have Market Overviews for each area and segment in our market (Condos, Post Falls, Sandpoint, Waterfront, Multi-Family, 1 Mil Plus), just let me know what you want and I will send it to you immediately.
REO LIST (84 Active, 8 Pending – 23 sold last month)
Foreclosures and Real Estate Owned by banks continue to keep downward pricing pressure on our active listings. The availability of foreclosures continues to increase every month, with more than a 20% pending ratio! See the list below:
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ot50u7tjy8e,7,1
Short Sale List (188 Active, 21 Pending – 19 sold last month)
I ran all the short sales sold in the last year. 70 total. Sellers ON AVERAGE reduced their prices 10% since initially offering their property. Then they averaged a 3.55% price reduction from the bank while in negotiations. This tells me that agents are getting the prices on the short sales below appraised value and close to what the banks will accept. View the list of short sales here:
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ot50ucmw7aj,7,1
Waterfront Listings (84 North Idaho Waterfront Listings)
Summer is a great time to be in North Idaho. Here is the latest in waterfront listings.
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?ot512zgi5s8,7,1
The commercial market is engaging a record $480 BILLION in debt coming due. This is a large number (up to 10X) compared to the residential market!
“…thousands of office complexes, hotels, shopping centers and other commercial buildings are headed into defaults, foreclosures and bankruptcies. The reason: according to research firm Foresight Analytics LCC, $530 billion of commercial mortgages will be coming due for refinancing in the next three years — with about $160 billion maturing in the next year. Credit, meanwhile, is practically nonexistent and cash flows from commercial property are siphoning off.”
Why, you ask, does this affect the market? Well, if you own a commercial property, and you have a balloon payment coming up, traditionally you would refinance, and start the process again. The availability of funds to refinance has dried up and terms have gotten tougher. Understand the issue? It is going to put a strain on banks ability to fund not only commercial but residential, credit lines, ect… This may present some distressed sales/foreclosures in the commercial arena. STAY TUNED. To view the available commercial inventory now, visit my site updated nightly with newest listings:
http://www.NorthIdahoCommercial.com
Total Market Overview CDA
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March 26, 2009
March 23, 2009
March 3, 2009
Hello All! I hope the current economic conditions are treating you gently. This edition of my NI Real Estate Analysis I want to cover 1. Market Activity, 2. Opportunities/Deals in Foreclosure/Short Sale 3. Buyer “Perfect Storm” and 4. “Retreat/Remote” Self Sufficient Properties. Also, please see my site redesign at http://www.LiveCDA.com and let me know your comments.
January and February have been tough months in sales with total unit sales at 117 and 110 respectively (according to MLS data). Sold volume has been very low at $34M & $20M. This would account for our average monthly sale price dropping from $294K to $188K! However, the property price ranges between 125K-175K are producing double digit pending ratios! This makes sense as it is the first time homebuyer market. Upper level properties Days on Market (DOM) continue to climb, currently at 182 days to sell. Once they do sell, we are getting within 93% of ask price. Of course, to sell, they have to offer best quality, or best price. Occasionally both. I get the question often, when do you think the right time to buy is? I think if you’re a first time homebuyer the time is now. If you’re in the residential upper level (300k+) buying mode, I think property prices may come down a little more, it may pay to wait, however, it is hard to tell if interest rates will stay this low. If you have a property you like, go for it. Call me if you want to “present” an offer to purchase. See the attached documents for more in-depth analysis.
Regarding anyone that has not owned a home in 36 months, I think now is a “perfect storm” for buying. Congress passed an $8,000 tax credit that purchasers get with their taxes if they buy before Dec. 1. Further, prices are low. The good houses (best price, best quality under 175K), we are getting multiple offers on. Current interest rates are dating back to 1969 levels. We have the right buyer incentives, low prices, low interest rates. If buyers have a job and descent credit, they can probably get a loan.
REO/FORECLOSURE PROPERTIES
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?op5gf6yzhd6,7,1
SHORT SALES
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?op5gf8nuf12,7,1
Black Rock Lot for $75,000 (Does not include membership)!
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?op5gerq9rzv,7,1
There has been talk that Idaho is a great place to “rebound” to if world frenzy continues to get livelier. With “back-up” alternative energy retrofits getting more reasonably priced w/ incentives (wind, solar, biomass), and property prices at low levels, inventory up, I think now is great time to secure a piece of that “getaway” property. Here is a list of North Idaho properties (in all price ranges) that I generated that include trees, multiple acres, private well or water source, ect…
http://www.flexmls.com/link.html?op5gk5b3f7w,7,1
Thank you for your referrals “in advance”! I will take care of you, your friends and family, neighbors, and more. I have knowledge in all aspects real estate: residential (www.livecda.com), commercial (northidahocommercial.com), waterfront (idahowaterfrontproperties.com), land (landcda.com), multifamily (idahomultifam.com) ect… Have a great March, and let me know if you have comments, questions.
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